World Bank Forecasts Decline in Benin Poverty Rates

The World Bank released a report on 9 October 2026 outlining new projections for poverty rates in Benin. Data within the report shows that the moderate poverty rate in the country stood at 41.1% during 2024. Projections from the institution indicate this figure will decline to 39.4% in 2025. Looking further ahead, the World Bank expects the moderate poverty rate to reach 34.5% by 2028.

Projected Trends in Poverty

Economic modeling provided by the World Bank indicates further shifts in the national poverty figures for Benin. Following the expected decline to 39.4% in 2025, analysts at the institution anticipate a continued downward trajectory for the moderate poverty rate. Projections released on 9 October 2026 suggest that this metric will reach 36.8% in 2027. These calculations form part of the broader outlook for the country as it transitions toward the 34.5% target previously identified for 2028. The data remains focused on moderate poverty levels as the primary indicator for evaluating the economic status of the population. These specific projections rely on the existing growth patterns and fiscal assessments maintained by the World Bank for the region.

Economic Growth and Stability

Benin reached the UEMOA fiscal deficit target of 3% of GDP in 2025. This achievement aligns with the regional fiscal framework established by the organization.

Economic projections from the World Bank anticipate an average economic growth of 7.6% for Benin in 2027 and 2028. These figures reflect the institution’s current outlook on the national economic trajectory over the next two years.

A separate World Bank report published on 8 October 2026 provides a distinct forecast for the preceding period. This document projects 7.8% growth for Benin in 2026. Together, these reports indicate the fiscal and growth expectations maintained by the institution for the country’s mid-term performance.

Alternative Poverty Data Perspectives

Instad reported a national poverty rate of 36.2% for the period between 2021 and 2022. This figure provides an alternative metric for assessing economic conditions in Benin compared to the projections issued by the World Bank.

Separate assessments from an Afrobarometer survey published in 2025 offer a different perspective on the financial well-being of the population. This survey indicates that three out of four Beninese live in moderate or high poverty. These findings contrast with the institutional data trends, reflecting varying methodologies used to evaluate the economic status of individuals across the country.